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Below are the 20 most recent journal entries recorded in Hurricane Dean's LiveJournal:

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Wednesday, August 22nd, 2007
11:53 pm
[forecaster15]
Dean's dead
From the latest forecast discussion:

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON WHAT WAS ONCE CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE DEAN.
Tuesday, August 21st, 2007
10:24 pm
[insomnia]
Quick update on Dean's location.
The latest boatus map of the storm shows that Hurricane Dean has hooked more to the north than most of the models predicted.

As such, it appears to be more likely to spend a longer time in the Gulf of Mexico, which could increase its strength at landfall... assuming it doesn't skirt the coast for a ways first. Right now, it looks like it will hit the coast somewhere between Tuxpan and Tampico.
5:13 pm
[insomnia]
Well, there's something you don't see everyday...
This hurricane model seems... well... pretty odd.



It predicts that Dean will quickly become a category 5 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, hit Mexico's east coast, weaken, and then hit Mexico City. If that wasn't odd enough, it also suggests that Dean will push through to the Pacific, go north along the coast to the Gulf of California, and gain strength, pushing north into the U.S. as a weak hurricane -- or a strong tropical storm -- on its way towards Yuma, Arizona.

A tropical storm in Arizona? It certainly sounds unlikely... but after a Google search, I was surprised to find out that it has actually happened quite a few times in recorded history.
5:58 pm
[forecaster15]
5pm update
Well, we're not quite done with this storm! I'm sure we'll all be able to breath a sigh of relief once this storm is done for.

From the latest forecast discussion:

DEAN HAS EMERGED INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY OF 70 KT IS AGAIN BASED ON TYPICAL DECAY RATES...AND HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE CYCLONE AROUND 00Z TO ASCERTAIN THE TRUE STRENGTH OF DEAN. BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...THE INNER CORE OF DEAN APPEARS TO BE LARGELY INTACT...WITH DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY OVER THE CENTER. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW RESTRENGTHENING TO BEGIN FAIRLY QUICKLY...AND DEAN COULD BE VERY NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BY THE TIME OF ITS LANDFALL IN THE WESTERN GULF.

The fact that the core of the storm seems to have weathered it's passage over land isn't that great news for people in the area of the storm's second landfall (around or south of Tuxpan, Mexico), on the other hand, it's not going to be nearly as strong as it was upon first landfall this morning. Still, people in that area need to be ready for the possibility of a major hurricane hitting them.

SatelliteCollapse )
5:12 am
[forecaster15]
0900UTC update
From the latest public advisory:

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF DEAN MADE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR COSTA MAYA OR MAJAHUAL AROUND 330 AM CDT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...270 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DEAN CROSSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 906 MB...26.75 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.

Given that Dean will probably weaken due to now being over land, and won't have enough time to get this strong again over the Gulf of Mexico, I think we can safely say that Dean's lowest pressure was 906mb, making it the 9th most intense Atlantic hurricane on record.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO... BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


From the forecast discussion:

DEAN MADE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR THE CRUISE SHIP PORT OF COSTA MAYA AROUND 0830 UTC...AND THE EYE IS NOW JUST INLAND. OBSERVATIONS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE HURRICANE WAS INTENSIFYING RIGHT UP TO LANDFALL.

SOME HISTORIC NOTES ARE IN ORDER HERE. THE 906 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE IS THE NINTH LOWEST ON RECORD FOR AN ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE...AND THE THIRD LOWEST AT LANDFALL BEHIND THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND HURRICANE GILBERT OF 1988 IN CANCUN MEXICO. DEAN IS ALSO THE FIRST CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN SINCE ANDREW OF 1992.

ASSUMING THAT THE INNER CORE IS NOT TOO DISRUPTED BY ITS INTERACTION WITH LAND...DEAN SHOULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE ITS FINAL LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO.

SatelliteCollapse )
4:15 am
[forecaster15]
According to satellite data from WeatherTap.com (the most-up-to-date weather information I've been able to find on the web), at 3:55am EDT/2:55am local time Hurricane Dean's eye was almost nearly completely straddling the coast of the Yucatan, and I think by now, 20 minutes later, it's safe to say that landfall has happened.



ETA: data from an image 7 minutes later shows most of the eye over the coast. Looks like landfall happened at pretty much exactly 3am Local Time, 4am EDT, 0900 UTC.
2:43 am
[forecaster15]
HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
225 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

DROPSONDE DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF HURRICANE DEAN IS NOW 909 MB...26.84 INCHES.

That makes Dean the 9th most intense (based on pressure) Atlantic hurricane on record.
Monday, August 20th, 2007
11:45 pm
[forecaster15]
11pm update
From the forecast discussion:

DURING THE LAST PENETRATION BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AT 00Z...A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 914 MB WAS MEASURED. THE PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND WAS 162 KT...WHICH CORRESPONDS TO ABOUT 145 KT AT THE SURFACE. DUE TO COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS...WE HAVE NOT RECEIVED ALL OF THE DROPSONDE AND SFMR DATA IN REAL-TIME. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET TO A POSSIBLY CONSERVATIVE 140 KT...PENDING A MORE THOROUGH EXAMINATION OF ALL OF THE AIRCRAFT DATA. ANOTHER AIRCRAFT WILL ARRIVE IN THE EYE OF DEAN IN A FEW HOURS...PRIOR TO LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE EVOLVING SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF DEAN REVEALS AN INCREASINGLY SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE PATTERN...AND A VERY WELL-DEFINED AND GRADUALLY CONTRACTING EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF ABOUT 20 N MI. REPORTS FROM THE AIRCRAFT...AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY...PROVIDE NO INDICATIONS OF ANY INNER-CORE STRUCTURAL CHANGES THAT WOULD LEAD TO WEAKENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STATUS DURING ITS ENTIRE STAY OVER YUCATAN...AND IT COULD STILL REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BEFORE FINAL LANDFALL IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.


On the assumption that Dean doesn't weaken prior to landfall, this would be the first landfalling Category 5 North Atlantic storm since Hurricane Andrew made landfall in Homestead, FL in August 1992.

At 11pm EDT/10pm Cancun time, the center of the storm was about 7.5 hours out from landfall. That's a little under 7 hours from right now.

Radar, satellite and track map under cutCollapse )
8:01 pm
[insomnia]
Dean: The good news, the bad news.
By far, the best news is that Jamaica and the Caymans were spared the full brunt of Hurricane Dean, which has taken a more southerly course. 

hetairai in Jamaica says: 

"I'm fine, house is fine. I'm in Westchester, Portmore, St Catherine. Where I am damage is minimal mostly just trees uprooted, some water tanks went flying. . . zinc roofs peeling or gone. . . Not much water but everyone is alive and waiting for water and power to come back. . . I just called a friend in Edgewater(up the road from where I am), they have lots of downed power poles, some split in two."

Fortunately, I can't find any LJ users posting from the current path of the storm's eye. The closest LJer I noticed was findjose in Merida, northwest of Cancun. The path of the hurricane seems to be south of there, fortunately, but given that Dean appears to be coming in as a cat-4 or 5 hurricane, it's obviously still a major concern.

findjose   writes: 

"My parents arrived about 3 hours ago and I was very happy to see them. This means I won’t have to leave home to face the hurricane elsewhere. I also get the satisfaction of knowing that they are safe with me rather than stuck at an airport.  Almost immediately after arriving…and after calling a few of her siblings, my mom insisted we go to the supermarket to get more food. It’s a good thing we did, because they closed over an hour ago. They’re also shutting down electricity at midnight (less then 3 hours), so I’m trying my best to enjoy my last few moments of trash-tv and internet.

Tomorrow around 2pm will be about the worst for Merida, but at least the eye of the storm won’t pass over here. It was suggested to me that I travel south, but I think that getting in a car in the middle of a storm is a terrible idea. Also, I have no where south to go."

Let's hope that the hurricane doesn't hook north or ride the coast. Going through fast and to the south would definitely be beneficial, especially since it would weaken Dean so that it can't recover fully in the Gulf of Mexico. Some of the models show it building back up to Category-4 strength in the gulf, and striking the Mexican coastline again between Veracruz and Tampico. If this happens, it could potentially damage Mexico's offshore oil and refinery production, which could have far-reaching economic effects. Two of the models even show the hurricane hitting the coast and hooking southeast towards Mexico City, potentially bringing winds up to 85MPH to the capital.

Guess we'll see. Hurricanes and how they interact during landfall are, if anything, irregular and unpredictable, even in the best of circumstances.
10:34 pm
[forecaster15]
Category 5

000
WTNT64 KNHC 210034
TCUAT4
HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
835 PM AST MON AUG 20 2007


DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING HURRICANE DEAN INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 160 MPH...MAKING DEAN A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB


At 8pm EDT (7am Cancun time, 6pm Belize time) the center of the storm was 210 miles east of Chetumal, Mexico, moving west at 20 miles an hour. At this speed landfall should occur around 5am or 6am local time.
Tuesday, August 21st, 2007
12:54 am
[commentnews]
hurricane dean in pictures

Source: NoComment News, Jamaica
Special thanks to robert birkenes


If you follow Dean, NoComment News has a photo report of Hurricane Dean aftermath - currently there are 32 pictures from 4 countries. All the pictures are submitted by regular citizens. I think pictures are hourly updated.

Be safe if you are somewhere around. And also keep people updated on what's happening around you.

Monday, August 20th, 2007
5:00 am
[forecaster15]
5am update
Still packing 150mph winds, now 115 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman, moving westward at 21 miles an hour. At current speed and direction the core of the storm will be making landfall north of Belize City early Tuesday morning.

Looks like Grand Cayman may have dodged the bullet of hurricane force winds. Now our attention will start shifting to the huge threat posed to Mexico and Belize from this storm. The NHC is still forecasting it to be a Category 5 upon landfall on the Yucatan in roughly 24 hours.

Satellite and track mapCollapse )
2:50 am
[forecaster15]
Update
At 2am Dean's wind speeds went back up to 150mph (from 145mph) and the NHC notes that Dean "COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TODAY".

Using dead reckoning of the track over the last 6-12 hours, I think it's safe to say that the center of the storm will pass far enough south of the Cayman Islands to spare them the worst of the storm. At this point Grand Cayman should already be getting tropical storm force winds, though.

Currently the NHC is forecasting Dean to be a Category 5 hurricane upon landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday morning.

Satellite and 3-day track forecast under cutCollapse )
Sunday, August 19th, 2007
5:37 pm
[forecaster15]
5pm update
Good news for Jamaica this afternoon: the center of Dean is passing south of the island! Currently the center of the storm is located 50 miles south of Kingston, moving west at 20 miles an hour. Radar data from Cuba shows that the northern eyewall will probably barely scrape the southern coast of the island, but even given that I believe this is still better then it could have been for the island.

As for the storm's overall status, not much is changed: winds are holding at 145MPH, the direction of movement is still west/west-northwest. This heading will bring the center of the storm close to Grand Cayman by tomorrow morning (around 8am local time at the current forward speed of 20mph). This means that tropical storm force winds will begin affecting the Cayman Islands tonight. A hurricane warning is currently in effect for the Cayman Islands and a hurricane watch is in effect for the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Current forecasts show the storm making landfall on the central or southern eastern coast of the Yucatan, which means Belize may also be affected by tropical storm and possibly hurricane force winds early Tuesday morning.

The threat to Texas lessens with each passing model run, at this point it seems pretty unlikely that Texas will take a direct hit from the storm, however the southern tip feeling some affects of the storm still is not out of the question.

Satellite and 3-day track map under cutCollapse )
1:04 pm
[insomnia]
As bad and as close as Hurricane Dean is to Jamaica, there may be some hope. The latest boatus tracking chart shows a very slight "bounce" away from the island.



Let's hope it bounces even more, real soon.

**Update ** Unfortunately, Hurricane Dean has actually wobbled closer to Kingson, which is being exposed to some of the strongest winds on the northside of the hurricane.

Power106 Jamaica went down for a bit, but now I can hear them again. Very staticky signal, and very hard to make out much, but I can make out about a third of what is said by tweaking the equalizer.  

I heard from genkiness in the Dominican Republic, who says:
"I live right in Santo Domingo, my house is near the Malecon, like 3 streets away from the sea and so far nothing has happened, just a lot of rain...
The newspapers have announced a few deaths but I dont know the exact number yet."

hetairai in Jamaica has been able to post, and is even using a twitter account to pass information along! She says:

"Pic taken during the temp calm. Haven't gotten TS type wind or rain yet. Its sporadic but gets stronger each turn. Kingston & Greater Portmore still have power. Check my Twitter 4 updates"
19082007094-001

Her latest twitter update was about 20 minutes ago, and said:
"Still same, called Roger in Kingston he has very strong winds, he had a tree snap. On the radio have people calling in from st ann..."

Looks to me that Kingston is going to have a bad time for the next few hours, and will get a lot of the worst of the damage on Jamaica. Still, as bad is it will probably be, it still seems like they dodged a bullet. 
9:06 am
[insomnia]
Jamaica goes dark.


Jamaica's power is being turned off (intentionally) this morning, so we probably won't hear anything from the LJers there for awhile, but a few of them snuck in some posts last night before the hurricane hit.

keangal writes:
"It is 4:36 am here and I've been busy since yesterday. The consensus on the island had been for a period of time that hey, it's not coming . That thing will just dissipate or change course or worst case senario just be a little storm. HA!!! if only.
I think it realy started to sink in yesterday and the people now resonate an underlying feel of...I want to do more, prepare more but I just don't have the money. The sounds of persons battening down loose boards to protect their windows was scattered late last night. My home is unfinished, the top portion with door spaces and window spaces. They have been battened down with loose plyboard that we have but the sense of foreboding still remains when we think about how damaging Gilbert was so long ago and it was only a category three.
The power company has already informed the country that power will be shut down as of ten am and from experience we know that at the first drop of rain the water company will shut the water off...never been able to figure that one out. Telephones have been an up in the air matter. The last hurricane that we, had one phone company shut it's machines down while the other just couldn't find signals the third isn't worth mentioning." 

samblob leaves us with:

"The electricity distribution grid in Jamaica is going to be shut down at 10h00 local time, which is 11h00 EDT (eastern daylight time)
The south coast of Jamaica has between 50% and 70% probability of being hit with hurricane force winds. There is no chance of avoiding tropical storm force winds, but the roof has withstood that before.

I hope the eye does pass off the coast as projected and that the winds here are low enough for the roof to survive. In any case, I will lose contact until Tuesday at the very least and probably until next week or later, so I hope things go well with you, at least until then.

Those of you who believe, and even those of you who merely doubt, please pray for me and for Jamaica.

If all goes well, I'll see you on the other side of this storm. If all goes badly, I'll see you on the other side of this life.

Sam Blob, over and out!"

He also linked to the lyrics to this song by the Bee Gees, with lyrics which seem appropriate. 

"In the event of something happening to me
There is something I would like you all to see
It's just a photograph of someone that I knew

Have you seen my wife, Mr. Jones?
Do you know what it's like on the outside?
Don't go talking too loud, you'll cause a landslide,
Mr. Jones.

I keep straining my ears to hear a sound
Maybe someone is digging underground
Or have they given up and all gone home to bed?
Thinking those who aren't so distant must be dead?

Have you seen my wife, Mr. Jones?
Do you know what it's like on the outside?
Don't go talking too loud, you'll cause a landslide,
Mr. Jones"


Let's hope that no matter what happens with Hurricane Dean, the people of Jamaica will not be forgotten by the rest of the world.

**Update** I have been able to listen to Power 106 FM in Jamaica on the internet. Looks like power has been extended slightly, though an announcement was just made that it could be turned off quite soon. 

 earths_fury posted about 40 minutes ago, saying:

"Hey, hey ,hey hey! I still gots light! whoooooo!!!! yea!!!!! 

So far, nothing note worthy other than the wind that we've been getting where I am. Plus the driving rain. I know other people in the flats don't have such torrential wind. I fear for my banana trees! :( And they had young bananas too! :`(  

Well by 2 o'clock today we are to be getting the outer nothern wall of Dean, so I guess by then, my light will be gone... Cable is officially gone now. Nothing but snow..... I got busy, well me and mum last night got busy and fortified the house. We are such a weird family. Little after 3 last night, or should I say this morning, we were taking up verandah chairs and the like, potted plants, while enjoying the breeze that Dean was sending us. I know that Dean really ain't here yet though, no fog, and no smell of salt on the wind brought in by the sea. 

I don't think I'll be updating again until Tuesday evening (with the hope that light will be here) {my dad forgot his laptop} so I have no link to the net during Dean..Dangit. I still see people driving up and down my hill, in this weather. And all I can say is that..dem brave ee? Oh well, pray that Dean doesn't blow our house away will ya? Laters ya'll.

Ps: One note of good but ironic news, my cousin Dean had his son born last night! Congrats to him!"

6:26 am
[samblob]
The electricity distribution grid in Jamaica will be shut down at or after 10:00 AM.

Source: http://www.jpsco.com/site.nsf/web/news-108.htm

Does anyone know when they're turning the water off?
5:47 am
[hetairai]
Good morning!
Still got power and water. The sky is now cloudy, got the same breeze and a very light drizzle. Did a sorta 360 with my cam:





Rest at http://picasaweb.google.com/hetairai/HurricaneDean

ETA: Quick vid I took this morning, its a before video. The shots facing the open lot, where u see just gray, normally you can see the mountains and they were visible before I went in for the cam. Just had a small shower now it's just a light drizzle.

Click for videoCollapse )
5:10 am
[forecaster15]
5am update
Nothing much new to report. Winds are still holding steady at 145MPH (perhaps generously, according to the forecast discussion).

Speaking of the forecast discussion, let's just jump right in with some highlights:

THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS KEPT AT 125 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY...WHICH MAY BE A LITTLE ON THE HIGH SIDE. IF INDEED DEAN HAS WEAKENED...THIS IS LIKELY THE RESULT OF INNER CORE PROCESSES...AND IS PROBABLY ONLY A SHORT-TERM CHANGE. THE LARGE-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC ENVIRONMENT STILL APPEAR TO BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...SO....ASIDE FROM INNER-CORE-RELATED FLUCTUATIONS...DEAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO ATTAIN CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE STATUS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE GFDL...SHIPS...LGEM...AND FSSE GUIDANCE.

ASIDE FROM THE TROCHOIDAL WOBBLES THAT ARE COMMON WITH SUCH INTENSE HURRICANES...THE MOTION HAS BEEN BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12-24 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/16.

IT IS IMPERATIVE NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. CONSIDERING THE MARGIN OF ERROR OF NHC PREDICTIONS...THE CORE OF THIS LARGE HURRICANE COULD EASILY BE 30-50 N MI ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FORECAST TRACK DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

ANOTHER AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO MAKE A POSITION AND INTENSITY FIX ON DEAN AROUND 1200 UTC.


When Jamaica will likely be affected by...
Tropical Storm force winds: 8am local time
Hurricane force winds: 2pm local time
The core of the storm (passing near or over the island): 6pm local time

under the cut: satellite image and 3-day track forecastCollapse )

Good luck to everyone in the path of this storm.
12:09 am
[insomnia]
In the path of Hurricane Dean.

I wanted to relay some news from Jamaica and the Cayman Islands from LJers effected by Dean. 

57classic from the Caymans reports:
"I have made it to Miami. . . I have an unbelievable sunburn from standing outside of the airport terminal. I am tired, dirty, and grateful for all of the people who helped me get where I am. . . My odyssey started at 11:30 a.m. It is now 11:30 p.m. I have met some incredible self-less people and have seen some incredibly boorish behavior. . . Many of the people working at the airlines had been there well past their shifts and they were working in truly trying circumstances, not the least of which was that oppressive heat. They were working hard to get everyone off the island that wanted to leave. Rumor had it that Cayman Airlines (the one I ended up flying on) had put on 30 extra flights. That is a lot of take-offs and landings and that is a lot of people. In all fairness, the passengers spent long hours waiting in the hot sun just to get inside to the queues to the ticket counters where they then spent long hours waiting in stifling heat to get that precious boarding pass that would allow them to wait yet again to go through security and then to wait one last time to board the plane.

Many travellers, like myself, were going to destinations that weren't exactly where they wanted to be, but were where they would be safe from the ravages of the storm. To all of those who made it to that place, hats off to you! May you sleep a little easier tonight. I know I will." 
earths_fury in Jamaica writes:

"Today dawned a bright beautiful summer day, no clouds in the sky and the sky itself... the bluest blue you can ever imagine. Caribbean blue indeed. But you know that a hurricane was coming. You can feel it in the oppressive heat that pressed down upon us, warning us of the danger that was coming toward us at a speed that petrifies even the most hardworthy sailors. It was a beautiful and dramatically uneventful day weather wise, the only other thing that heraled this category four hurricane was the beautiful red sunset that set Jamaica in an unearthly glow.

Right now, after listening to the news, we are told that JPS our power service company will be turning off light island wide in order to preserve their power plants, and from preventing power surges. I have no cable... well our cable company stated that they had to take down their satalites for their saftey...wouldn't want any renditions of hurricane gilbert, and the following song sung by  Loving Dear, "oonu si mi dish oonu si mi dish, oonu si mi satalite dish wha mi seh now!"

Traffic today was impossible, even though we left the house ridiculously early. I mean the traffic was really really bad. How would you feel being stuck at the foot of your hill, looking up at said trafficless hill, stuck in traffic that looks like bramble snarls? Sigh, another wasted hour of my life....

Sadly, and foolishly we have not battened down anything yet. Dad has gone to get stuff...that's what you get for having a totally business driven father... so I'm stuck with fill up the bathtubs duty, cause when there is no light, sadly there is no water. Curses living in the country hilltops. 

Weather channel....miraculously one of the channels that is still on, shows us the projected path of Hurricane dean. Yup, he certainly ain't changing course. So its like a bad head-on collision... but only thing is that we are being given time to prepare, collect and help ourselves before being faced with the worst. Who knows what will happen tomorrow when Dean makes landfall.... he'll probably be at category 5 strength by then....And you know what, through out all of this, I am surprisingly not worried. Yes I fret that this is going to kill off the whole of our tiny ass island,... but I have faith in God that everything is going to be okay. (and that dean don't wash wi all into the sea...)

Now I must go, as I have to be using tape to make sure that if and when debris starts flying, our windows, half of the house is windows..dangit.. doesn't shatter. *sigh* Why did dean have to come this way???? Only god know that answer. "

 Her friend

chelsae_mari  will also be riding out the storm in Jamaica, as will  hetairai, who managed to find plywood today at E&R Hardware in Passage Fort, Jamaica... just in case anyone else out there needs some.  hetairai also posted some pictures from today, which show the clouds starting to come in.


 
 

erinx_x in the Caymans is also riding out Dean, though this model predicts max winds of up to 173kts when it hits the Caymans! She'll be praying, she says. 

Lots of praying going on. Couldn't hurt... it's worled before. Let's hope faith can move mountains AND hurricanes. Expect more updates and detailed weather information in  hurricanedean as things evolve. 

 

 

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