Insomnia (insomnia) wrote in hurricanedean,
Insomnia
insomnia
hurricanedean

Dean: The good news, the bad news.

By far, the best news is that Jamaica and the Caymans were spared the full brunt of Hurricane Dean, which has taken a more southerly course. 

hetairai in Jamaica says: 

"I'm fine, house is fine. I'm in Westchester, Portmore, St Catherine. Where I am damage is minimal mostly just trees uprooted, some water tanks went flying. . . zinc roofs peeling or gone. . . Not much water but everyone is alive and waiting for water and power to come back. . . I just called a friend in Edgewater(up the road from where I am), they have lots of downed power poles, some split in two."

Fortunately, I can't find any LJ users posting from the current path of the storm's eye. The closest LJer I noticed was findjose in Merida, northwest of Cancun. The path of the hurricane seems to be south of there, fortunately, but given that Dean appears to be coming in as a cat-4 or 5 hurricane, it's obviously still a major concern.

findjose   writes: 

"My parents arrived about 3 hours ago and I was very happy to see them. This means I won’t have to leave home to face the hurricane elsewhere. I also get the satisfaction of knowing that they are safe with me rather than stuck at an airport.  Almost immediately after arriving…and after calling a few of her siblings, my mom insisted we go to the supermarket to get more food. It’s a good thing we did, because they closed over an hour ago. They’re also shutting down electricity at midnight (less then 3 hours), so I’m trying my best to enjoy my last few moments of trash-tv and internet.

Tomorrow around 2pm will be about the worst for Merida, but at least the eye of the storm won’t pass over here. It was suggested to me that I travel south, but I think that getting in a car in the middle of a storm is a terrible idea. Also, I have no where south to go."

Let's hope that the hurricane doesn't hook north or ride the coast. Going through fast and to the south would definitely be beneficial, especially since it would weaken Dean so that it can't recover fully in the Gulf of Mexico. Some of the models show it building back up to Category-4 strength in the gulf, and striking the Mexican coastline again between Veracruz and Tampico. If this happens, it could potentially damage Mexico's offshore oil and refinery production, which could have far-reaching economic effects. Two of the models even show the hurricane hitting the coast and hooking southeast towards Mexico City, potentially bringing winds up to 85MPH to the capital.

Guess we'll see. Hurricanes and how they interact during landfall are, if anything, irregular and unpredictable, even in the best of circumstances.
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